Is Football/Soccer Purely Stochastic, Made Out of Luck, or Maybe Predictable? How Does Bayesian Reasoning Assess Sports?

How Predictable Is

JULY 2003 AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY | A recent analysis of 12 statistical and dynamical models used for El Niño predictions finds that at the long (1–2 yr) and even medium (6–11 months) ranges there were “no models that provided useful and skillful forecasts for the entirety of the 1997/98 El Niño” (Landsea and Knaff 2000). Most of the models were wrong in predicting the timing of the ons...

Semiotics inside - out and / or outside - in : how to understand everything and ( with luck ) influence people

Does Luck Exclude Control?

How an eggshell is made.

o a housewife an egg is an article of food, and its shell serves to protect it from physical damage and to prevent the entry of dirt and microorganisms. To the hen an egg is a potential chick, and the shell serves not only as a protective covering but also as a source of calcium for the embryo and as a membrane through which the embryo respires. The eggshell performs its various functions with ...

The Effect of Bayesian Reasoning Training on the Results of Clinical Reasoning Tests of Interns

Introduction: Clinical reasoning includes a range of thinking about clinical medicine at all stages of patient evaluation. Bayesian theory can be used to refute or confirm differential diagnoses in the clinical reasoning process. In this way, by learning the basic mathematical language of probability in medicine, we can change our beliefs according to new evidence. The aim of this study is to i...